Famalicao vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Famalicao v Chaves — Team-Based Signals
Famalicao vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR
0-2
HT 0-1
Famalicao
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Famalicao
POR2
Famalicao 2-2 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics
Famalicao and Chaves shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Famalicao had 56% of the ball to Chaves's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.80 to 2.13.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Famalicao and 0.67 for Chaves.
What was the final score of Famalicao vs Chaves?
Famalicao 2-2 Chaves in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Famalicao vs Chaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Famalicao 43%, draw 28%, Chaves 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao), Under 2.5 went the other way.