Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.19
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
9%
9.38
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
8%
7.49
2/X
10%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.83/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.56
-14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.9 Crosses 17.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Portimonense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 2-2 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
24.10.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
01.05.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
08.01.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 3-0 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
09.07.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-1 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
13.12.2019 Portimonense Portimonense 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave
2-0
AWAY Portimonense
1.23 xG 0.51
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
343 Passes 374
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave got the better of Portimonense 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rio Ave as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rio Ave had 48% of the ball to Portimonense's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.23 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rio Ave and 0.67 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Portimonense?

Rio Ave 2-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 49%, draw 28%, Portimonense 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave) ✓ Under 2.5
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