İstanbulspor 1-5 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

İstanbulspor
1-5 HT 1-4
Fenerbahçe
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
57%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.57
2-3 Goals
43%
2.14
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
20.8
1/2
6%
22.15
1/X
4%
27.5
X/1
11%
28.5
X/2
12%
3.48
X/X
12%
10.55
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
39%
1.31
2/X
4%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
7%
+15.6pp
20%
Draw
14%
+6.1pp
57%
Away Win
79%
-21.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 84%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
0.56/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.86/0.82
-38% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 85%
9.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.7
9.6 Crosses 21.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.30 xG 2.16
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
222 Passes 555
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.04.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-3 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
20.12.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
30.10.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-5 HT 0-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
18.12.2019 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
03.12.2019 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-0 HT 2-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TÜK
07.07.2018 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe HAZ

İstanbulspor 1-5 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
1-5
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.81 xG 3.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 25
9 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 8
320 Passes 393
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe swept aside İstanbulspor 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 47% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 53%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 0.81 to 3.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for İstanbulspor and 3.00 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe?

İstanbulspor 1-5 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 23%, draw 20%, Fenerbahçe 57%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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