Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Jan 2024

Kayserispor
1-3 HT 1-1
Sivasspor
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.98
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.67
X/2
14%
6.45
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.69
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.53
+9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
23.6 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 388
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.06.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
13.01.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 4-1 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
26.05.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-3 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TÜK
21.05.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
27.12.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 3-0 HT 3-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
21.02.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL

Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
1-3
AWAY Sivasspor
1.55 xG 2.17
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
378 Passes 173
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 16
37 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor beat Kayserispor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sivasspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kayserispor had 65% of the ball to Sivasspor's 35%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.55 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sivasspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kayserispor and 1.50 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?

Kayserispor 1-3 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 40%, draw 29%, Sivasspor 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kayserispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
7 Jan 2024
16:00 İstanbulspor vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →
19:00 Galatasaray vs Konyaspor Analysis →