Carmarthen Town 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Jan 2025

Carmarthen Town
3-1 HT 2-0
Cwmbran Celtic
📅07/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.64
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
36%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
56%
-17.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.3pp
36%
Away Win
22%
+13.2pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.6pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Cwmbran Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
2.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/3.05
-3% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
The Meetings
29.03.2024 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
12.08.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-1 HT 0-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
28.01.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.10.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 3-5 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
29.01.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-0 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town beat Cwmbran Celtic 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Carmarthen Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (65%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Carmarthen Town had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Carmarthen Town and 1.20 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Carmarthen Town 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 39%, draw 25%, Cwmbran Celtic 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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