Glentoran FC 2-0 Ballymena United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - League Cup, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
18.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.91 — our 22% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.24
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
6%
18.8
X/1
16%
10.65
X/2
18%
3.56
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.09
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
215 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballymena United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
18.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
25.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Glentoran FC saw off Ballymena United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ballymena United at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Glentoran FC and 0.33 for Ballymena United.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Glentoran FC 2-0 Ballymena United in the North Ireland - League Cup on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Ballymena United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 29%, draw 21%, Ballymena United 50%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballymena United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KİRLK More North Ireland - League Cup
7 Jan 2025
00:00 Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC Analysis →