Ballymena United 1-0 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.13
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
6%
15.95
X/1
11%
9.0
X/2
18%
3.89
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.25
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
54%
-13.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 58%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.33/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.92
+24% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 5-0 HT 4-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
25.08.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
14.03.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
17.02.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 1-3 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
10.01.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
02.01.2023 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-0 HT 1-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United edged past Glentoran FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballymena United and 1.83 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC?

Ballymena United 1-0 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 33%, draw 26%, Glentoran FC 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ BTTS Yes
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