Coleraine FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.47
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.08
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
17%
4.06
X/2
13%
9.9
X/X
10%
5.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.9
2/2
13%
7.07
2/X
7%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
56%
-13.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
21%
+12.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.78/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.63
-3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.01.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
15.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
05.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
23.08.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-4 HT 1-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC got the better of Carrick Rangers 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coleraine FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Coleraine FC and 1.17 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Coleraine FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 43%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coleraine FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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