Linfield FC 0-1 Larne FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.72
6+ Goals
7%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.13
X/2
7%
8.07
X/X
14%
4.72
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.29
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Larne FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.45/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.39
-16% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Linfield FC
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Larne FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
30.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.12.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KILK
11.11.2023 Linfield FC Linfield FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
21.04.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Linfield FC vs Larne FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC edged past Linfield FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Linfield FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Linfield FC and 1.50 for Larne FC.

What was the final score of Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Linfield FC 0-1 Larne FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Linfield FC vs Larne FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Linfield FC 46%, draw 28%, Larne FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Linfield FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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