Loughgall FC 1-5 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.54
1/2
9%
20.75
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
9.43
X/2
15%
4.21
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.15
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 8% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 59%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
2.12/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.23
+97% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 8
03.02.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 1-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRK
16.12.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
30.09.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 1-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville swept aside Loughgall FC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Loughgall FC and 3.00 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Cliftonville?

Loughgall FC 1-5 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 33%, draw 22%, Cliftonville 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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