Coleraine FC 0-2 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 24% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.18
X/2
12%
8.41
X/X
8%
5.53
2/1
6%
21.75
2/2
14%
6.04
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.92/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.77
+3% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
15.08.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
05.11.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
23.08.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 2-4 HT 1-2 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
22.01.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
0-2
AWAY Carrick Rangers
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrick Rangers saw off Coleraine FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Coleraine FC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 64% of the ball to Carrick Rangers's 36%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coleraine FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 0.83 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Coleraine FC 0-2 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coleraine FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 46%, draw 22%, Carrick Rangers 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Coleraine FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coleraine FC) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
20 Jan 2024
18:00 Linfield FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →
18:00 Dungannon Swifts vs Larne FC Analysis →
18:00 Cliftonville vs Ballymena United Analysis →