Al Ahly 2-0 Smouha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 7 Jan 2025

📅07/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+10.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Smouha EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.81/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.32
+27% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
408 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 68%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.4 Crosses 11.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Smouha
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.78 xG 0.83
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
439 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
36 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2024 Smouha Smouha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
28.11.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
17.04.2023 Smouha Smouha 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
17.01.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSRK
25.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
29.06.2022 Smouha Smouha 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-0
AWAY Smouha
1.78 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
336 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Smouha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly beat Smouha 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 51% of the ball to Smouha's 49%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.78 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for Smouha.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Smouha?

Al Ahly 2-0 Smouha in the Egypt - Premier League on 07/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Smouha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 60%, draw 20%, Smouha 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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