Smouha vs Al Ahly Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Smouha v Al Ahly — Team-Based Signals
Smouha vs Al Ahly Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
0-2
HT 0-1
Al Ahly
MSR
3-1
HT 3-0
Smouha
MSRK
0-0
HT 0-0
Smouha
MSR
3-2
HT 2-0
Al Ahly
MSR
4-1
HT 2-0
Smouha
MSR
Smouha 0-1 Al Ahly — Actual Match Statistics
Al Ahly edged past Smouha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Smouha had 39% of the ball to Al Ahly's 61%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.67 to 1.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 1.83 for Al Ahly.
What was the final score of Smouha vs Al Ahly?
Smouha 0-1 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Smouha vs Al Ahly?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Smouha 20%, draw 27%, Al Ahly 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.