Masr 0-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 8 Aug 2024

Masr
0-1 HT 0-0
Zamalek
📅08/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.7
No
58%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
3.28
2-3 Goals
33%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
7%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 39% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
55%
-13.1pp
58%
BTTS No
45%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Masr EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.79/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.16
-13% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.2 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Masr
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Zamalek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.39 xG 0.92
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
148 Passes 323
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 1-2 HT 1-1 Masr MSR
18.08.2020 Masr 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
06.10.2019 Zamalek Zamalek 1-1 HT 1-1 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Masr
0-1
AWAY Zamalek
0.24 xG 0.55
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
237 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Masr vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek squeezed past Masr 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Zamalek found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Masr had 40% of the ball to Zamalek's 60%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.24 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Masr had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Masr and 0.67 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Masr vs Zamalek?

Masr 0-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Masr vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Masr 32%, draw 31%, Zamalek 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zamalek), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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