Fildişi Sahili 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Fildişi Sahili
1-0 HT 0-0
D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Fildişi Sahili vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.59
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
12%
4.08
X/2
12%
6.84
X/X
16%
3.32
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
11%
6.2
2/X
8%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fildişi Sahili v D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fildişi Sahili EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.72/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.95
-84% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / +73%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.9 Crosses 22.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Fildişi Sahili vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fildişi Sahili
3W-2D-1L
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.19 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 Passes 216
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
18.01.2023 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 0-0 HT 0-0 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AUŞ
13.10.2019 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 3-1 HT 2-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti HAZ
20.01.2017 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 2-2 HT 1-2 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
04.02.2015 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-3 HT 1-2 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFUK
15.10.2014 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili 3-4 HT 1-3 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti AFUK
11.10.2014 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-2 HT 0-1 Fildişi Sahili Fildişi Sahili AFUK

Fildişi Sahili 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fildişi Sahili
1-0
AWAY D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
1.21 xG 0.93
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
311 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 9
20 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Fildişi Sahili vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fildişi Sahili squeezed past D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fildişi Sahili as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Fildişi Sahili had 57% of the ball to D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti's 43%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.21 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fildişi Sahili had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Fildişi Sahili and 1.50 for D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti.

What was the final score of Fildişi Sahili vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Fildişi Sahili 1-0 D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fildişi Sahili vs D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fildişi Sahili win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fildişi Sahili 42%, draw 30%, D.Kongo Cumhuriyeti 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fildişi Sahili), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fildişi Sahili) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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