Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Nijerya
1-1 HT 0-0
Güney Afrika
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2023

Nijerya vs Güney Afrika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
5.73
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
17.85
X/1
17%
3.44
X/2
5%
10.05
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
7%
9.58
2/X
9%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.7pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nijerya v Güney Afrika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.19/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.90
-12% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.0 Crosses 8.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Nijerya vs Güney Afrika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Güney Afrika
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.05 xG 0.57
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
222 Passes 403
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.07.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
17.11.2018 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 1-1 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
10.06.2017 Nijerya Nijerya 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
29.03.2015 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya HAZ
19.11.2014 Nijerya Nijerya 2-2 HT 0-1 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
10.09.2014 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK

Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
1-1
AWAY Güney Afrika
1.49 xG 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
307 Passes 534
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Güney Afrika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya and Güney Afrika couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nijerya at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Nijerya had 40% of the ball to Güney Afrika's 60%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.49 to 1.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nijerya and 1.17 for Güney Afrika.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Güney Afrika?

Nijerya 1-1 Güney Afrika in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Güney Afrika?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 55%, draw 26%, Güney Afrika 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nijerya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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