Energie Cottbus 4-3 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.16/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.09
+1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +89%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.07.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 2-1 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus ALMBÖL
05.04.2023 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-2 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus ALMBÖL
22.10.2022 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
29.08.2020 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
16.02.2020 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus edged past Viktoria Berlin 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Energie Cottbus as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.60 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs Viktoria Berlin?

Energie Cottbus 4-3 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 54%, draw 24%, Viktoria Berlin 22%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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