Meppen 3-2 VfB Oldenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meppen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY VfB Oldenburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
2.98/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.27
+83% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meppen
0W-2D-1L
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2023 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 2-0 HT 2-0 Meppen Meppen ALMBÖL
28.01.2023 Meppen Meppen 1-1 HT 1-1 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg AL3
23.07.2022 VfB Oldenburg VfB Oldenburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Meppen Meppen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meppen
3-2
AWAY VfB Oldenburg
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Meppen vs VfB Oldenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meppen squeezed past VfB Oldenburg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Meppen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Meppen had 51% of the ball to VfB Oldenburg's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, VfB Oldenburg led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Meppen and 1.33 for VfB Oldenburg.

What was the final score of Meppen vs VfB Oldenburg?

Meppen 3-2 VfB Oldenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meppen vs VfB Oldenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meppen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Meppen 47%, draw 25%, VfB Oldenburg 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meppen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meppen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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