Dender EH 5-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 20%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.07/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.82
-49% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
18.7 Crosses 18.1
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Seraing
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.14 xG 0.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
235 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 0-2 Dender EH Dender EH BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
5-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.99 xG 0.20
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
450 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 65%
37 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH swept aside RFC Seraing 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dender EH as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Dender EH had 62% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 38%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.99 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs RFC Seraing?

Dender EH 5-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dender EH win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 50%, draw 24%, RFC Seraing 26%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dender EH) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dender EH) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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