Lommel United 3-0 Beerschot VA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 7 Feb 2024

Lommel United
3-0 HT 2-0
Beerschot VA
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.76
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lommel United v Beerschot VA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.34/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
14.8 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Lommel United vs Beerschot VA Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.76 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 Passes 378
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 1-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
06.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 1-3 HT 1-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
09.09.2022 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 0-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
23.02.2020 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 2-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
20.12.2019 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 1-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
08.11.2019 Lommel United Lommel United 1-0 HT 0-0 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2

Lommel United 3-0 Beerschot VA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
3-0
AWAY Beerschot VA
1.21 xG 1.28
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
293 Passes 491
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs Beerschot VA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United cruised past Beerschot VA 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Lommel United made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 39% of the ball to Beerschot VA's 61%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.21 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lommel United and 1.17 for Beerschot VA.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs Beerschot VA?

Lommel United 3-0 Beerschot VA in the Belgium - 1st Division on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs Beerschot VA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 35%, draw 25%, Beerschot VA 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Beerschot VA), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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