CSD Comunicaciones 1-4 Monterrey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Feb 2024

📅07/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
45%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSD Comunicaciones EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Monterrey EU Bookmakers 54%
+51% / +51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
2.44/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/0.54
+81% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +95%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
32.6 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSD Comunicaciones
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Monterrey
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
21.09.2011 Monterrey Monterrey 3-1 HT 1-0 CSD Comunicaciones CSD Comunicaciones CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSD Comunicaciones
1-4
AWAY Monterrey
1.29 xG 2.44
31% Ball Possession 69%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 9
222 Passes 586
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSD Comunicaciones vs Monterrey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey cruised past CSD Comunicaciones 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monterrey as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CSD Comunicaciones had 31% of the ball to Monterrey's 69%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.29 to 2.44.

What was the final score of CSD Comunicaciones vs Monterrey?

CSD Comunicaciones 1-4 Monterrey in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSD Comunicaciones vs Monterrey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CSD Comunicaciones 26%, draw 29%, Monterrey 45%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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