Real Esteli 2-1 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Feb 2024

Real Esteli
2-1 HT 1-0
Club America
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024

Real Esteli vs Club America Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.1
Over 2.5
41%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.05
6+ Goals
7%
9.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 37% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+11.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+15.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-15.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.4pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Esteli v Club America — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 70%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.70/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.53
-86% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -33%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 514 · 85%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.0 Crosses 17.3
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Real Esteli 2-1 Club America — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Esteli
2-1
AWAY Club America
1.05 xG 1.83
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
189 Passes 467
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 31
7 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Esteli vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli edged past Club America 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club America at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Esteli had 32% of the ball to Club America's 68%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.05 to 1.83 — on chances, Club America could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Club America?

Real Esteli 2-1 Club America in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 26%, draw 24%, Club America 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
7 Feb 2024
04:00 CSD Comunicaciones vs Monterrey Analysis →