Bengaluru 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 7 Feb 2024

Bengaluru
1-0 HT 0-0
Chennaiyin FC
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Bengaluru vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bengaluru v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.21/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
-23% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
18.4 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Bengaluru vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.46 xG 1.23
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
28.01.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 3-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
14.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
26.01.2022 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-0 HT 2-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
30.12.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-4 HT 1-2 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
05.02.2021 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL

Bengaluru 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
1-0
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
0.70 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
259 Passes 188
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru squeezed past Chennaiyin FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bengaluru as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bengaluru had 57% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 43%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.70 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bengaluru had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bengaluru and 1.00 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Chennaiyin FC?

Bengaluru 1-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 43%, draw 26%, Chennaiyin FC 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bengaluru), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✓ Under 2.5
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