Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Cambuur
3-1 HT 1-0
Vitesse
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2023/2024

Cambuur vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.2
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
10%
12.25
X/1
11%
5.32
X/2
12%
6.16
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1
7%
24.6
2/2
13%
3.93
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambuur v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 37%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
0.56/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.57
-32% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
13.0 Crosses 13.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.2

Cambuur vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Vitesse
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.80 xG 2.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
345 Passes 324
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
15.10.2022 Cambuur Cambuur 0-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
10.04.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL
04.12.2021 Cambuur Cambuur 1-6 HT 1-3 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
16.01.2016 Cambuur Cambuur 0-2 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
30.08.2015 Vitesse Vitesse 4-1 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL

Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
3-1
AWAY Vitesse
2.45 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
238 Passes 303
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur saw off Vitesse 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Cambuur made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Cambuur had 46% of the ball to Vitesse's 54%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.45 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cambuur and 3.00 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Vitesse?

Cambuur 3-1 Vitesse in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 36%, draw 29%, Vitesse 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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