Feyenoord 2-0 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Feyenoord
2-0 HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - KNVB Cup – 2023/2024

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
15%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
17%
3.47
X/2 EV+ ✗
11%
14.85
X/X
9%
6.68
2/1
8%
22.05
2/2
9%
11.75
2/X
6%
19.85
Value flag · X/2 at 14.85 — our 11% vs market 3.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 17%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
3.49/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.83
+23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +44%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.1 Crosses –
0.7 Yellow Cards –

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.09 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
399 Passes 344
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0-1 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
12.11.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
18.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
16.10.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-3 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
27.02.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 2-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
07.11.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL

Feyenoord 2-0 AZ Alkmaar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-0
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
2.41 xG 0.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
337 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
33 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord got the better of AZ Alkmaar 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Feyenoord had 50% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 50%, shots finished 18-4, expected goals 2.41 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Feyenoord 2-0 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 54%, draw 20%, AZ Alkmaar 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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