Başakşehir FK 1-1 Hatayspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Başakşehir FK
1-1 HT 1-0
Hatayspor
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
13%
4.08
X/2
7%
7.98
X/X
15%
4.68
2/1
10%
24.6
2/2
10%
6.22
2/X
5%
14.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Başakşehir FK v Hatayspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
0.88/0.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.29
-50% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / +24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
35.0 Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards –

Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hatayspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.84 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
436 Passes 310
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
07.11.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 3-3 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
24.04.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
05.12.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-3 HT 0-3 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
30.01.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-5 HT 0-3 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
14.09.2020 Hatayspor Hatayspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Hatayspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
1-1
AWAY Hatayspor
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK and Hatayspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 56% of the ball to Hatayspor's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.67 for Hatayspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor?

Başakşehir FK 1-1 Hatayspor in the Turkey - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Hatayspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 48%, draw 29%, Hatayspor 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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