Gaziantep FK 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 7 Feb 2024

Gaziantep FK
0-2 HT 0-2
Fenerbahçe
📅07/02/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
43%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
9%
8.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 24% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
8.98
1/2
5%
20.55
1/X
5%
17.0
X/1
12%
12.1
X/2
13%
3.74
X/X
9%
6.41
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
25%
1.81
2/X
7%
16.5
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.98 — our 19% vs market 7.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
17%
+19.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.4pp
43%
Away Win
62%
-19.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 66%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
0.90/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.77
-21% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +40%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
229 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.34 xG 2.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
206 Passes 440
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 38
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
13.08.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-1 HT 2-1 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
15.01.2023 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
29.04.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
13.12.2021 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 3-2 HT 1-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
12.04.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL

Gaziantep FK 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe beat Gaziantep FK 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 44% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 56%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gaziantep FK and 2.17 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Gaziantep FK 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Cup on 07/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 36%, draw 21%, Fenerbahçe 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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