Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Sevilla (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.37
Draw
33%
4.34
Away
33%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
68%
-35.1pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.6pp
33%
Away Win
12%
+21.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.96/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.18
-24% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
19.5 Crosses 13.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sevilla (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.33
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
435 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.06.2024 Sevilla (K) Sevilla (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
1-0
AWAY Sevilla (K)
0.96 xG 0.18
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 1
505 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) nicked a narrow win over Sevilla (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 66% of the ball to Sevilla (K)'s 34%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.96 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Madrid (K) and 1.00 for Sevilla (K).

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 Sevilla (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Sevilla (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Sevilla (K) 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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