Arda Kardzhali 2-2 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.97/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.75
+78% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +50%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Varna
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 8
16.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2-2
AWAY Spartak Varna
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Spartak Varna shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arda Kardzhali at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 55% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?

Arda Kardzhali 2-2 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 48%, draw 29%, Spartak Varna 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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