Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Varna v Arda Kardzhali — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Varna 1-0 Arda Kardzhali — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Varna squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Varna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Spartak Varna had 51% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 49%, shots finished 10-9.
What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Spartak Varna 1-0 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 41%, draw 25%, Arda Kardzhali 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Varna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.