Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.55/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.07
+47% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
1W-0D-1L
AWAY PFC Beroe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 HT 1-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
07.08.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 2-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0-1
AWAY PFC Beroe
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe squeezed past Levski Krumovgrad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Krumovgrad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 60% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 40%, shots finished 17-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Levski Krumovgrad and 1.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Levski Krumovgrad 0-1 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 41%, draw 32%, PFC Beroe 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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