Cavalry 2-1 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.9
Over Pick
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.14
2-3
37%
1.74
4-5
30%
3.37
6+
9%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalry The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM The Market 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalry
2-1
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.28 xG 0.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
225 Passes 443
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cavalry vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavalry nicked a narrow win over Pumas UNAM 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Cavalry had 37% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 63%, shots finished 7-5, expected goals 1.28 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Cavalry vs Pumas UNAM?

Cavalry 2-1 Pumas UNAM in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalry vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cavalry 30%, draw 25%, Pumas UNAM 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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