Cibao 1-1 Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No Pick
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.38
2-3
39%
1.86
4-5
29%
2.72
6+
10%
7.49
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.38 — our 22% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
34%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
20%
Home Win
5%
+14.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
60%
Away Win
79%
-18.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cibao The Market 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara The Market 84%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-100% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
11.0 Crosses 22.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cibao
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Guadalajara
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 10
106 Passes 450
57% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2018 Guadalajara Guadalajara 5-0 HT 1-0 Cibao Cibao CON
23.02.2018 Cibao Cibao 0-2 HT 0-1 Guadalajara Guadalajara CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cibao
1-1
AWAY Guadalajara
0.08 xG 1.19
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
183 Passes 515
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 37
7 Crosses 42
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cibao vs Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cibao and Guadalajara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Guadalajara at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cibao had 29% of the ball to Guadalajara's 71%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.08 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Guadalajara led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cibao and 3.50 for Guadalajara.

What was the final score of Cibao vs Guadalajara?

Cibao 1-1 Guadalajara in the CONCACAF Champions League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cibao vs Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Cibao 20%, draw 20%, Guadalajara 60%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guadalajara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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