Manchester United 2-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 7 Feb 2025

Manchester United
2-1 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Manchester United vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.18
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.6
6+ Goals
16%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.1
X/1
17%
3.87
X/2
6%
17.8
X/X
9%
8.33
2/1 EV+ ✓
13%
20.05
2/2
7%
14.45
2/X
6%
23.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.05 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.88/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/3.44
+2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
17.1 Crosses 14.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Manchester United vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leicester City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.97 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
456 Passes 405
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
30.10.2024 Manchester United Manchester United 5-2 HT 4-2 Leicester City Leicester City İNLK
19.02.2023 Manchester United Manchester United 3-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
01.09.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP
02.04.2022 Manchester United Manchester United 1-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
16.10.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 4-2 HT 1-1 Manchester United Manchester United İNP

Manchester United 2-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United
2-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.90 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
486 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester United vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United squeezed past Leicester City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Manchester United had 56% of the ball to Leicester City's 44%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.90 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manchester United and 1.17 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Manchester United vs Leicester City?

Manchester United 2-1 Leicester City in the England - FA Cup on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Manchester United 60%, draw 21%, Leicester City 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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