Flint Town United 2-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Flint Town United win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.1pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -2%
1.92/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.71
+11% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
413 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2024 Flint Town United Flint Town United 3-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
07.09.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
25.03.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.02.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 5-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
06.01.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
28.10.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint Town United
2-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United saw off Aberystwyth Town 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flint Town United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Flint Town United had 60% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 40%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flint Town United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Flint Town United and 0.67 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Aberystwyth Town?

Flint Town United 2-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 54%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint Town United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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