Aberystwyth Town 0-2 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.39
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 33% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
33%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.22/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.43
-6% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberystwyth Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Flint Town United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.02.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 5-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
06.01.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
28.10.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
29.10.2021 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
28.08.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-0 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
POST-MATCH Aberystwyth Town vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United saw off Aberystwyth Town 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Flint Town United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flint Town United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.67 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Flint Town United?

Aberystwyth Town 0-2 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberystwyth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 39%, draw 26%, Flint Town United 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberystwyth Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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