Haverfordwest County 0-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

Haverfordwest County
0-1 HT 0-1
The New Saints
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
61%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.73
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 31% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
61%
Away Win
73%
-12.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.1pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v The New Saints — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 78%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
0.93/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.98/0.53
+36% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +57%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.6

Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
29.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
06.11.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 6-0 HT 3-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
28.08.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints edged past Haverfordwest County 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Haverfordwest County and 3.17 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints?

Haverfordwest County 0-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 16%, draw 23%, The New Saints 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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