Connahs Quay 1-2 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

Connahs Quay
1-2 HT 1-0
Barry Town
📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Connahs Quay vs Barry Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Connahs Quay v Barry Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -11%
1.59/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.85
-9% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
431 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Connahs Quay vs Barry Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Barry Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Corners 0
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 7-0 HT 2-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
09.09.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
09.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
12.03.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
29.01.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-3 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
11.09.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town nicked a narrow win over Connahs Quay 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Connahs Quay and 1.00 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Barry Town?

Connahs Quay 1-2 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 54%, draw 23%, Barry Town 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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