Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
7%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+3.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.50/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.49
-6% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
03.02.2024 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
16.12.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.08.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
22.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
18.03.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU squeezed past Bala Town 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bala Town and 0.67 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?

Bala Town 0-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 47%, draw 22%, Cardiff MU 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bala Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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