Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
4.16
6+ Goals
6%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.85/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.08
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.08.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
22.04.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 2-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
18.03.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
26.11.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GALLK
19.11.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town and Cardiff MU shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Bala Town and 0.67 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?

Bala Town 1-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 54%, draw 25%, Cardiff MU 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bala Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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