Barry Town 0-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 3 Feb 2024

Barry Town
0-3 HT 0-1
Pontypridd Town AFC
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Barry Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.68
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 31% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+10.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barry Town v Pontypridd Town AFC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.81/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.53
+12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5

Barry Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GAL
02.09.2023 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
26.10.2021 Barry Town Barry Town 7-1 HT 1-1 Pontypridd Town AFC Pontypridd Town AFC GALLK

Barry Town 0-3 Pontypridd Town AFC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
0-3
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontypridd Town AFC ran out comfortable winners over Barry Town 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barry Town had 63% of the ball to Pontypridd Town AFC's 37%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barry Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Barry Town and 0.67 for Pontypridd Town AFC.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Barry Town 0-3 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - Premier League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 50%, draw 29%, Pontypridd Town AFC 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Barry Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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