Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.74
Over 2.5
53%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.28
2-3 Goals
43%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
74%
-16.0pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
10%
+12.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
33%
+14.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
67%
-14.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.68/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-1% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newtown squeezed past Briton Ferry 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Briton Ferry?

Newtown 1-0 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newtown 58%, draw 20%, Briton Ferry 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newtown) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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