Aston Villa U21 1-3 Reading U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.33
No
45%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.2pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
71%
-16.5pp
45%
BTTS No
29%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.35/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/3.00
-43% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.8 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U21
1-3
AWAY Reading U21
63% Ball Possession 37%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 0
405 Passes 207
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U21 vs Reading U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading U21 beat Aston Villa U21 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa U21 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Aston Villa U21 had 63% of the ball to Reading U21's 37%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U21 vs Reading U21?

Aston Villa U21 1-3 Reading U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U21 vs Reading U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U21 52%, draw 21%, Reading U21 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aston Villa U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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