Chelsea U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 7 Feb 2025

📅07/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.35
No
52%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
70%
-21.9pp
52%
BTTS No
30%
+21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.41/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/2.42
-46% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses 19.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Leeds United U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.86 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 Passes 298
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 0-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 INGPL2-1
02.02.2024 Chelsea U21 Chelsea U21 3-3 HT 2-1 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 İNPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea U21
1-1
AWAY Leeds United U21
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
390 Passes 225
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 and Leeds United U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Chelsea U21 had 62% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 38%, shots finished 20-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelsea U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Chelsea U21 and 1.50 for Leeds United U21.

What was the final score of Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Chelsea U21 1-1 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chelsea U21 49%, draw 21%, Leeds United U21 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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