Umm Salal 0-1 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 7 Feb 2025

Umm Salal
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Sadd
📅07/02/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Qatar League – 2024/2025

Umm Salal vs Al Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
7.48
2-3 Goals
32%
2.25
4-5 Goals
32%
2.3
6+ Goals
18%
3.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-12.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Umm Salal v Al Sadd — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
0.82/2.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.45/1.02
-6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -31%
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
215 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 527 · 87%
11.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
10.6 Crosses 18.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5

Umm Salal vs Al Sadd Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umm Salal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.90 xG 2.32
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
156 Passes 569
71% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-3 HT 0-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
21.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 6-0 HT 4-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
18.08.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
04.02.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
01.10.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
09.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT

Umm Salal 0-1 Al Sadd — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umm Salal
0-1
AWAY Al Sadd
0.45 xG 3.06
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
142 Passes 428
65% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Umm Salal vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd squeezed past Umm Salal 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Umm Salal had 31% of the ball to Al Sadd's 69%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.45 to 3.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Sadd's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Umm Salal and 2.50 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Umm Salal vs Al Sadd?

Umm Salal 0-1 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 07/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umm Salal vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Umm Salal 19%, draw 22%, Al Sadd 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
7 Feb 2025
16:30 Al Ahli vs Qatar SC Analysis →
18:45 Al Duhail SC vs Al Wakrah Analysis →