Al Sadd 1-3 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.29
2-3 Goals
32%
2.1
4-5 Goals
30%
2.54
6+ Goals
17%
5.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.1pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
3.07/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.49
+40% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
492 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
19.1 Crosses 10.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sadd
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.36 xG 0.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
578 Passes 182
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
41 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 6-0 HT 4-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
18.08.2023 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
04.02.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
01.10.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KATYK
09.08.2022 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
09.02.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 1-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sadd
1-3
AWAY Umm Salal
2.25 xG 1.35
77% Ball Possession 23%
20 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 3
508 Passes 110
87% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Sadd vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umm Salal saw off Al Sadd 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

This one beat our numbers. Al Sadd carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Sadd had 77% of the ball to Umm Salal's 23%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 2.25 to 1.35 — on chances, Al Sadd could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Sadd and 0.83 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?

Al Sadd 1-3 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sadd vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Sadd 63%, draw 22%, Umm Salal 15%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Sadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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