Al Rayyan 4-2 Al Shahaniya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
5.04
2-3 Goals
48%
1.96
4-5 Goals
21%
2.75
6+ Goals
8%
7.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 23% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.5pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.5pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.6pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shahaniya EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.49/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/2.61
+1% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Shahaniya
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
30.08.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KATYK
14.08.2020 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
07.11.2019 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya KAT
11.10.2019 Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
4-2
AWAY Al Shahaniya
3.38 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
391 Passes 458
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
35 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan beat Al Shahaniya 4-2. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 47% of the ball to Al Shahaniya's 53%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 3.38 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Al Rayyan and 0.50 for Al Shahaniya.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya?

Al Rayyan 4-2 Al Shahaniya in the Qatar League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 57%, draw 25%, Al Shahaniya 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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