Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Shamal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.7
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shamal EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.04/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.78
+8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
21.8 Crosses 12.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Shamal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Al Shamal Al Shamal 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
09.12.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
19.11.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Shamal Al Shamal KATYK
20.02.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Shamal Al Shamal KAT
26.09.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
17.08.2022 Al Shamal Al Shamal 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
1-1
AWAY Al Shamal
1.09 xG 1.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
468 Passes 239
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa and Al Shamal shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Gharafa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 64% of the ball to Al Shamal's 36%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shamal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.33 for Al Shamal.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal?

Al Gharafa 1-1 Al Shamal in the Qatar League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Shamal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 53%, draw 26%, Al Shamal 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
13 Sep 2024
18:00 Al Rayyan vs Al Shahaniya Analysis →
20:00 Al Sadd vs Umm Salal Analysis →