Scunthorpe United 1-0 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 7 Feb 2026

📅07/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.97
Over
49%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.64
No
47%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.54
2-3
40%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.17
6+
11%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.87
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
21%
4.97
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
15%
5.06
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
15%
5.05
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.97 — our 21% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United The Market 32%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
2.08 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.42
1.14 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.38
Great Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
125 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 113 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
186 Passes 211
58% Pass Accuracy 60%
11 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
22.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 3-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İBSL
20.03.2021 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İN2
12.12.2020 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
12.03.2019 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 4-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İN1
27.11.2018 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
1-0
AWAY Southend United
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Scunthorpe United vs Southend United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Scunthorpe United nicked a narrow win over Southend United 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.64, about 61%.

Under the surface, Scunthorpe United had 45% of the ball to Southend United's 55%, shots finished 8-8.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.33 for Southend United.

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Result & Final Score

Scunthorpe United 1-0 Southend United in the England - National League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Scunthorpe United vs Southend United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 43%, draw 26%, Southend United 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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