Rochdale vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rochdale v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rochdale came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Carlisle United 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.88, about 53%.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rochdale and 1.17 for Carlisle United.
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Result & Final Score
Rochdale 1-0 Carlisle United in the England - National League on 07/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rochdale vs Carlisle United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 55%, draw 23%, Carlisle United 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.